According to a recent poll conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing, former President Donald Trump is ahead of current President Joe Biden among likely voters in Michigan for the upcoming 2024 election.
The poll, which surveyed 600 likely voters in the state, revealed that 46 percent of respondents support Trump, while only 41 percent support Biden. It is important to note that the margin of error for the poll is ±4 percentage points.
EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn expressed his concerns over the declining support for Biden in Michigan. He believes that factors such as Biden’s age and the public’s perception of him compared to Trump are contributing to this shift in support.
Additionally, Porn stated that people are not impressed with Biden’s messaging on his economic approach, which could make it challenging for Biden to regain support in the state.
The poll also highlighted a decline in support for Biden among key voter groups. For example, despite Democrats emphasizing abortion as a crucial issue, 28 percent of “pro-choice” voters expressed support for Trump, while only 58 percent supported Biden. The survey also indicated a significant drop in support among black voters, with only 62 percent of likely black voters supporting Biden, compared to 92 percent in the 2020 election.
Trump also leads among independent voters, with 45 percent supporting him compared to 18 percent for Biden, while 38 percent of independent voters are undecided.
Interestingly, the survey found that even among union members, Trump had more support (47 percent) than Biden (40 percent), despite Biden’s support for unions during the recent strike by the UAW against the Detroit Three automakers.
In terms of age demographics, the poll results showed that Trump is leading in all age groups except for voters over 65, where Biden had a slight advantage. Specifically, among voters aged 18 to 34, 48 percent support Trump and 35 percent support Biden.
Among voters aged 35 to 49, 46 percent support Trump and 39 percent support Biden. Among voters aged 50 to 64, 54 percent support Trump, while only 34 percent support Biden.
The poll did reveal that Biden still maintains a lead among college-educated voters, with 49 percent supporting him compared to 37 percent for Trump. However, this margin is significantly lower than the 17-point lead Biden had with college-educated voters in the 2020 election.
Conversely, Trump is leading among voters without a college education, with 52 percent supporting him compared to 35 percent for Biden. This represents an improvement for Trump, as he only had a five-point lead among this group in the 2020 election.
Overall, the poll indicates that Trump is currently in a stronger position than Biden among likely voters in Michigan for the 2024 presidential election. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that the election is still a year away, and circumstances can change significantly in that time.