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National Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden in 2024 Matchup

A new national NBC News poll highlights President Joe Biden’s struggles against former President Donald Trump, even as the economy grows and Biden faces little opposition within his party for the 2024 nomination.

20 Point Gap in Economy, 30 On Immigration

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The poll reveals that Biden trails Trump by more than 20 points in handling the economy and by more than 30 points in immigration and border issues.

Additionally, Trump now holds a 16-point advantage over Biden in terms of competence and effectiveness, a significant shift from 2020 when Biden led in this aspect.

Biden’s Approval Rating Hits New Low

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The poll also shows a decline in Biden’s approval rating, dropping to 37%, the lowest of his presidency.

Furthermore, fewer than 3 in 10 voters approve of his handling of the Israel-H1 war.

Trump Leads in Hypothetical 2024 Matchup

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In a hypothetical 2024 general-election matchup, Trump leads Biden by 5 points among registered voters, with 47% supporting Trump and 42% supporting Biden.

While this result falls within the poll’s margin of error, it reflects a clear shift compared to the past year.

Positive News on the Economy Doesn’t Boost Biden

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Despite positive economic indicators, such as declining inflation and job growth, Trump maintains a 22-point advantage over Biden in handling the economy.

This is a stark contrast to October 2020, when Trump led by only 7 points on this issue.

Mixed Results on Other Issues

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The poll indicates that Trump holds advantages over Biden on various issues, including securing the border, mental and physical health, dealing with crime and violence, and competence and effectiveness.

Biden, on the other hand, has the edge on issues related to abortion and protecting immigrant rights.

Biden’s Strongest Demographics

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Biden leads Trump among specific demographics, including Black voters, women, and white people with college degrees.

However, Trump has a lead among white people without college degrees, men, and independents.

Biden’s Prospects in a Trump Conviction Scenario

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In a scenario where Trump is convicted of a felony, Biden narrowly leads by 2 points, indicating that Trump’s legal situation could affect the race.

Third-Party Scenarios Favor Trump

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In matchups that include third-party candidates, Trump’s advantage over Biden grows to 6 points.

Nikki Haley Leads Biden in Hypothetical Matchup

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Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley leads Biden by 9 points in a hypothetical matchup.

Trump Dominates GOP Primary Poll

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Within the Republican primary, Trump holds a commanding 60-point lead over Nikki Haley among national GOP primary voters.

Opinions on Trump’s Leadership

 

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A majority of Republican voters (61%) believe that Trump should continue as the party’s leader, while 14% think it’s time to consider other leaders, and 22% feel the GOP needs a new leader with different personal behavior and approach.

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