In a recent NBC poll, political correspondent Steve Kornacki raised concerns over the results, which showed former President Trump leading President Biden in a hypothetical general election match-up for the first time in NBC poll history. Trump garnered 46% support, while Biden received 44%. Kornacki emphasized that Biden has historically enjoyed an advantage over Trump in terms of “likability,” but the latest poll indicates a tie between the two candidates. He stated, “The gap is gone. Thirty-six percent positive on both and actually Biden, one point more negative than Trump. That’s been a significant advantage for Biden, our poll says that advantage, at least for now, may be gone.”
Kornacki also drew attention to Biden’s approval rating in the NBC poll, which recorded the lowest rating for the president so far. Only 40% of registered voters approved of Biden’s job performance. Among Independents, a mere 30% approved. Kornacki noted, “If you take a look here by party, I think it’s significant for two reasons: one, Independents, obviously, more than two to one disapprove. You don’t want to be there as an incumbent president. But I think equally significant, no surprise, 7% of Republicans approve of Joe Biden’s job performance, but three times as many Democrats, 21%, that’s more than one in five, say they disapprove. You need much more unified support in your own party if you’re going to have a successful reelection campaign.”
Additionally, Kornacki revealed that young voters in the 18-24 age group were leaning towards Trump. The poll showed that 46% of voters in this age range preferred Trump, while 42% favored Biden. Kornacki highlighted the significance of this shift, stating, “The youngest voters in the 2020 election were Biden +28. This could be a massive sea change.”
Multiple recent polls have indicated President Biden trailing Trump in general election match-ups and key battleground states. The poll also revealed dissatisfaction with Biden’s handling of foreign policy, with a mere 33% approving of his performance. NBC’s Kristen Welker acknowledged the surprising nature of these numbers, stating, “These numbers surprised our own pollsters, Steve. With one saying he cannot remember a time when a foreign entanglement that didn’t involve U.S. troops had the capacity to transform the electorate. That’s not the case in this poll.”
NBC’s latest poll adds to the mounting bad news for President Biden, following two polls in November that showed him trailing Trump. An earlier NBC/Siena College poll disclosed that Biden was behind Trump in several crucial battleground states.