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New Hampshire Poll Shows Trump and Haley in a Deadlock

In a dramatic turn of events in the Republican primary race, former President Donald Trump and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley are now locked in a tie in New Hampshire. This surprising development indicates a significant shift in voter sentiment.

Equal Footing

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Both Trump and Haley stand equally at 40 percent among the state’s likely Republican primary voters. This result is revealed in the latest poll by American Research Group Inc., released on a recent Tuesday.

A Change in Dynamics

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This development marks a considerable change from earlier polls. Back in December, Trump led with 33 percent against Haley’s 29 percent, showing a different political landscape.

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Gaining Momentum

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By the beginning of January, both candidates had seen a rise in their support. Trump was at 37 percent and Haley at 33 percent, indicating increasing popularity for both.

DeSantis in the Mix

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Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who recently outperformed Haley in Iowa’s caucuses, trails significantly in New Hampshire. He holds only 4 percent support among Republican voters.

Iowa vs New Hampshire

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In Iowa, the political scene was different with Trump securing a clear victory. He obtained 51 percent of the vote, according to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s election data.

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Following the Leader

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In the Iowa polls, following Trump were DeSantis with 21 percent and Haley with 19 percent. This showed a distinct voter preference in the state.

Haley’s Perspective

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Despite this, Haley maintains that New Hampshire’s primary, scheduled for January 23, is a direct contest between her and Trump. She is optimistic about her chances in the state.

Endorsement Boost

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Haley’s confidence is bolstered by the endorsement from New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu (R-N.H.). This support could play a crucial role in the primary.

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Current Polling Averages

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Polling averages from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill in New Hampshire show Trump leading Haley. The margin is 43 percent to 34 percent in favor of Trump.

Expert Opinions

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Experts note that Haley, who previously served under Trump, stands a chance for a strong performance in New Hampshire. Her political experience is a key factor.

A Challenging Path

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However, there’s speculation that if Trump wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, it would be an uphill battle for any of his rivals. This includes Haley, to clinch the nomination later on.

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Poll Details

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The poll conducted by the American Research Group Inc. involved 600 likely Republican primary voters. This diverse group included both Republicans and undeclared voters.

Survey Period

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The survey was carried out between January 12-15. This timing is crucial as it captures the current political sentiment among the voters.

Margin of Error

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The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. This statistic is significant, reflecting the changing political scenario in the GOP primary race.

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