“The Race for the 2024 Republican Nomination Begins”
Description: The 2024 Republican primary field is shaping up, with former President Donald Trump leading the pack. However, many voters are open to supporting other candidates, setting the stage for an interesting race.
“Trump Takes the Lead”
Description: Donald Trump has consolidated slightly above half of his party’s support at this early stage. His potential path to a third nomination is highlighted, but challenges from rivals are expected.
“New Entrants in the Race”
Description: South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis have recently declared their candidacies. Their entry adds more dynamics to the race.
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“Trump vs. DeSantis: The Numbers”
Description: Trump is the first choice of 53% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters, doubling DeSantis’ 26%. However, wide swaths of voters are open to considering either candidate.
“Other Contenders and Their Support”
Description: Other candidates like former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, former Vice President Mike Pence, and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie also have support, though less than Trump and DeSantis.
“Candidates Ruled Out”
Description: A significant portion of the electorate has already ruled out certain candidates like Chris Christie, former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, and New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu.
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“Shift in Support”
Description: Trump’s substantial advantage over DeSantis marks a shift from previous polling. This movement in Trump’s favor mirrors findings of other recent national polls.
“Trump’s Support Base”
Description: Trump’s primary support falls short of a majority among certain groups. However, these groups have yet to unite more strongly around any alternative.
“DeSantis’ Strongest Support”
Description: DeSantis’ best showing comes among self-proclaimed “very conservative” voters. 34% of this group supports him.
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“Predictions for Trump’s Nomination”
Description: 52% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters think it’s highly likely that Trump will win the party’s presidential nomination for a third cycle. His supporters are far more confident in his chances.
“Satisfaction with the Current Field”
Description: 73% of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters say they’re at least fairly satisfied with the current field of Republican candidates running for president.
“Openness to Multiple Candidates”
Description: Many voters are open to considering multiple candidates, providing room for the dynamics of the race to shift in the coming months.
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“Potential Support for Other Candidates”
Description: Among those who call Trump their first choice, a significant percentage also say they’d consider supporting DeSantis, Scott, Haley, and radio host Larry Elder.
“Interest in Learning More About Candidates”
Description: GOP-aligned voters were asked to pick up to three candidates they weren’t supporting but would like to hear more about. Scott, DeSantis, Haley, and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy topped that list.
Description: Trump maintains a 77% overall favorability rating among GOP-aligned voters. By contrast, former Republican President George W. Bush’s rating is just 57%.
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“The Road Ahead”
Description: The 2024 Republican primary field is taking shape with Trump leading but many voters open to other candidates. The race is expected to be dynamic and interesting in the coming months.