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China’s Shift in Stance on Taiwan Raises Fears of Potential Invasion

China’s recent omission of the term “peaceful reunification” from its latest budget report has raised alarms, suggesting a potential shift in its approach to Taiwan that could signal preparations for conflict.

The removal of this language, coupled with a significant increase in military spending, has led to speculation about China’s intentions regarding Taiwan.

China’s Military Budget Increase

Credit: DepositPhotos – Beijing, China – May 1, 2005: A row of somber Chinese soldiers watch the evening flag-lowering ceremony in Tiananmen Square — Photo by LeeSnider

Premier Li Qiang announced during the opening of the National People’s Congress that China would boost its military budget by 7.2% this year, amounting to an estimated 1.67 trillion yuan ($231 billion).

Largest Military Increase in 5 Years

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This marks the largest increase in military spending in five years, signaling a significant investment in China’s military capabilities.

Removal of ‘Peaceful Reunification’ 

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In a departure from previous reports, China’s budget report omitted references to “peaceful reunification” with Taiwan, instead calling for “reunification” while emphasizing a need to “be firm.” This subtle change has drawn attention amid heightened tensions between China and Taiwan.

Taiwan’s Status and China’s Stance

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Taiwan, self-governed since 1949, is viewed by China as a breakaway province that should be under its jurisdiction.

Wang Huning’s Remarks

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Chinese Communist Party leader Wang Huning remarked in February that China would resolutely combat any Taiwanese independence attempts, signaling a tougher stance towards the island and contributing to regional instability.

Military Spending Under Xi Jinping

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Since Xi Jinping assumed office in 2013, China’s military spending has more than doubled.

China’s Growing Assertiveness

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Defense scholars interpret this significant increase as a reflection of China’s growing assertiveness and readiness to confront challenges, including those related to Taiwan.

International Concerns and Responses

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Japan, a key regional player, has expressed concerns about China’s lack of transparency regarding its military spending.

Yoshimasa Hayashi, a spokesperson for the Japanese government, highlighted the strategic challenges posed by China’s military buildup and emphasized the need for international cooperation to maintain peace and stability.

Taiwan’s Defense Preparations

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Amid growing tensions, Taiwan has also been bolstering its defense capabilities, acquiring advanced weapons systems.

Reports indicate Taiwan’s possession of various cruise missiles, underscoring its efforts to deter potential aggression and defend its sovereignty.

US Support and Intervention

A survey by the Center for Strategic and International Studies revealed confidence among U.S. experts in American intervention if China were to invade Taiwan.

The U.S.’s commitment to Taiwan’s defense remains a crucial factor in the region’s security dynamics.

Unanswered Questions From China

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Despite the escalating tensions and concerns raised by its military activities, representatives of the Chinese government have not provided immediate comments or clarifications on these developments, leaving many questions unanswered.

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